CEWARN produces regional conflict early warning reports informed by bi-annual national and regional-level conflict profiling and scenario building exercises for the IGAD region. CEWARN has just released its 2021 regional conflict early warning profiling and scenario building report that is informed by country-specific thematic research, national conflict profiles and scenario-building reports.

The report flags nine conflict triggering issues-to-watch for 2021-2022 namely: youth unemployment, pandemics, mismanaged electoral processes, extreme climatic conditions, land and national resource-based conflicts, polarized ethnicity and tribalism, violent extremism, inter-state conflicts as well as proliferation of Small Arms and Light Weapons (SALWs.)

The report contains brief descriptions and analysis on the nine-issues to watch and categorizes them as either persistent, emerging, escalating, dissipating, or a combination of two or more.

Refer to the regional report for details.